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Latest posts

• Liminality

  Jun 23, 2026

  It’s crazy how much Fullmetal Alchemist mimics how AI is playing out. We pour human souls into a philosopher’s stone that we think will solve all our problems and cure death. It doesn’t exactly do this, but you can use it to create homunculi that behave like people, Chat, Claude, GLM. The homunculus is a puree of the souls that were used to create it. It’s easy to rage against the bubble and the h

• The doom justifies the valuation

  Jun 21, 2026

  I’ve been in Berkeley for the last 2 weeks. I haven’t really been back here for a while, and it’s worse than you can believe. This is a cult of atheistic hedonists needing AI doom to be true to justify their life choices. Or acceleration. Or something. They need to make impact. I mean, narcissism of small differences to an extent, but I stopped long before these people did. If San Francisco was nu

• You don’t understand, prices can’t go down

  Jun 18, 2026

  Since at least 2008, every time there’s an option to either make the money track real value or make sure things don’t go down, they chose the latter. As a result, money is increasingly uncoupled from reality. From Cory Doctorow’s blog: The actual dead economy risk is that our institutions and markets will continue to move capital from productive activity into memestocks, vibes, and bubbles. Theran

• Summoning the Demon

  Jun 17, 2026

  Watch you hit the stage like a willing bomb The title is a 2014 Elon Musk quote. Now that we are 12 years in, it’s so true, but maybe not in the way intended. Or maybe exactly as intended? I read this and it described what’s currently going on as a social crime. I very much agree. AI is simply a reflection of our society, it doesn’t contain a destiny. We are summoning the demon because we have dem

• AI will be massively deflationary

  Jun 11, 2026

  The funny thing about Anthropic haters is that they still mostly believe Anthropic’s marketing. They think Claude is a recursively self-improving silicon God, and that we are all a couple refusals away from falling into the perpetual underclass. This gives them way more power than they deserve. Of course they believe they should dictate morality to you and control the future light cone of the univ

• Stairway to Heaven

  Jun 07, 2026

  They are a highly sophisticated statistical model designed to mimic the distribution of programming. The output is broken, but in a way that’s getting harder and harder to detect. Which is exactly what you’d expect from an increasingly accurate statistical model. The Eternal Sloptember 5 years ago, I would have laughed that idea out of the room. I fully understand what’s dumb about it. I don’t bel

• Our Great War is a Spiritual War

  Jun 06, 2026

  I often come back to the question of why this is happening. Why do people want the centralized world? Why do people want the administered reality? Why do people want to be managed? Why do people not want root? The answer is that those people prioritize convenience, safety, and comfort. But in the coming world, if these are your priorities, you will die. There used to be natural checks on these th

• The Eternal Sloptember

  May 24, 2026

  I’m calling it now, the adoption of AI agents into software development will be one of the most costly mistakes in the field’s history. Agents cannot program, and it’s taking longer and longer to realize that they can’t. They are a highly sophisticated statistical model designed to mimic the distribution of programming. The output is broken, but in a way that’s getting harder and harder to detect.

• There is only one bad AI scenario

  May 23, 2026

  I’ve pushed AI doomers on how exactly the AI kills us, and I’ve never heard a good answer. I think Skynet style scenarios where humanity is largely opposed to an out of control AI are science fiction domination fantasies, along with Gray goo bottom-up scenarios. Both of these assume a major continuity break with current reality, too bizarre to be true. But unfortunately, you don’t need this for hu

• What will better AI mean?

  May 20, 2026

  I thought about posting this paper but rebranding it as the Claude Mythos technical report. As far as I can tell, there’s no secret tricks the US frontier labs have, and that basically describes how Mythos was trained. What’s in that paper just works, and for verifiable domains, it’s only a matter of fixing bugs and scaling up. That’s why Anthropic is so desperate for regulatory capture, AI has no